One & Done · 2026 PGA Tour season · 14 pickers

Two repeat picks are gone, and the man in second took the weakest name on the board

Round two is live at Bellerive. Brian O. spent his one repeat on Scottie Scheffler and James K. spent his on Xander Schauffele — while Kirk C., 139 back in second, took the lowest-ranked golfer any of the fourteen picked. 2,250 points are still live and 1,500 of them sit in one double-weighted Sunday at East Lake.

22,700 played · 2,250 live

Round 2 — BMW Championship, after round one

Bellerive Country Club, St. Louis · 50 players, no cut, 750 to the winner. The top 30 in FedExCup order on Sunday go to East Lake. The points below are what each pick would bank if the tournament ended exactly where it stands now — three rounds are still to play, so treat them as position, not prediction. An orange rail marks a golfer more than one picker holds.

Round 1 — FedEx St. Jude Championship, final

TPC Southwind, Memphis · August 13–16 · 69 players, no cut. Sam Burns paid Ryan O. 338, the biggest return of the week by a distance and worth two places in the standings. No-cut did what no-cut does: all fourteen scored something, only the ninth week all season that has happened. An orange rail marks a golfer more than one picker held.

Standings, and how much headroom is left

The solid bar is banked. The pale extension is every remaining point a picker could still win. Every extension still clears the leader — but last place now clears it by 253, where a week ago the margin was 1,043. Highlight yourself with the buttons below; the selection carries through all three charts.

Highlight

The season race

Cumulative points across all 35 completed events. Hover anywhere to see who picked whom that week. The gaps opened at the majors and the 700-point signature weeks, not on ordinary Thursdays.

Win probability from here

200,000 simulated finishes. Every picker draws a random position in each remaining field, paid on the actual playoff points curve — 750/500/350/326/298, reconstructed from this season's own results rather than assumed. An earlier version of this page scaled the ordinary weekly curve instead, which underpaid second and third place badly; correcting it moved the top of this chart by several points. It assumes no skill edge, so read it as the shape of the race rather than a forecast.

What the last two weeks lock in

Both remaining events are no-cut with shrinking fields — 50 players, then 30. That one structural fact does more to freeze these standings than any pick will.

Biggest weeks of the season

The eight largest single-event hauls anyone has posted, and who was holding them. Every one came at a major, the Players or a signature event — the weeks worth double or 700. The St. Jude’s best did not come close to this list.

    Full standings

    PPE is points per event. Zeros are weeks a pick scored nothing. Repeat is whether a picker still holds their one repeat pick — five do, after Brian O. and James K. spent theirs at the BMW. East Lake is where it is worth the most.

    #PickerPointsBackPPE Best wk300+ZerosRepeatMax poss.Win %

    Below the dashed rule, winning the BMW outright and then finishing dead last at East Lake still would not reach the leader’s median projected finish.

    The perfect season

    Every 2026 leaderboard, pulled from the tour’s own results and run through the one-and-done rule: one golfer a week, nobody twice, one repeat pick. This is the ceiling — what the best possible season was really worth, and how much of it anyone captured. It is solved again from scratch each week over the completed events: a new result can reshuffle earlier weeks, because a golfer who wins twice is still only usable once.

    Why it is not 22,700 — the golfers who won more than once
    Share of a perfect season captured
    The lineup, week by week
    #EventMaxPerfect pickPts

    Red marks a week the winner had already been spent. All of them are ordinary 500-point weeks — a perfect season never gives up a major, a signature or a playoff event.

    Who actually made a perfect pick

    Weeks where somebody chose exactly what the perfect season chose. Not the same as holding the winner: five of the perfect picks are not winners at all, because that week’s winner had already been spent elsewhere.